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Opinion polls conducted for the 2024 United Kingdom general election. The trend lines are local regressions (LOESS) Aggregation and distribution of polls from January 2024 to the calling of the election, with a comparison to the 2019 general election result
Current status. Online. 538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. [2] Founder Nate Silver left in April 2023.
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Democratic Donald Trump Republican Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent Other/ Undecided Margin Decision Desk HQ/The Hill: through May 30, 2024 May 30, 2024 39.7% 41.3%: 8.0% 11% Trump +1.6: 538: through May 31, 2024 May 31, 2024 39.5% 41.1%: 9.8% 9.6% Trump +1.6: Average: 39.5% ...
Maps and electoral vote counts for the 2012 presidential election. Our latest estimate has Obama at 281 electoral votes and Romney at 191.
FiveThirtyEight only missed Florida, North Carolina, and Maine's 2nd congressional district in their projections. Donald Trump prevailed in each of these contests, in which FiveThirtyEight forecasted the better chances for Biden to win. Reception. Silver has been criticized for inaccurate predictions.
52%. Should not be required. 30%. Not sure. 18%. The Huffington Post has partnered with YouGov to conduct daily public opinion polls on the issues of the day.
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Nikki Haley Donald Trump Other/ Undecided Margin 270 to Win: February 5–27, 2024 February 28, 2024 15.6% 78.3%: 6.1% Trump +62.7: Decision Desk HQ/The Hill: through February 27, 2024 February 28, 2024 17.2% 78.7%: 4.1% Trump +61.5: FiveThirtyEight: through February 27, 2024 February ...
Harris Poll: January 18–19, 2023 – 3% 35%: 5% 12% 3% 3% 3% 11% 3% 25%: YouGov: January 14–17, 2023 618 (A) – 39%: 10% 8% – 6% – 13% – 26%: YouGov: January 5–9, 2023 442 (A) – 31%: 11% 9% 4% 6% – 14% 9% 9%: Big Village: January 4–6, 2023 477 (A) – 32.9%: 8.7% 16.0% – – – 12.5% – 29.9%: Big Village: December 16 ...
Former President Donald Trump has won the South Carolina Republican primary, ABC News projects. It was a swift and embarrassing defeat for former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley, who rose to...
Real Clear Politics: 46.8%: 43.6% 3.2: TPM Polltracker: 48.8%: 43.9% 4.9: Three-way FiveThirtyEight: 45.7%: 41.8% 4.8% — 3.9: HuffPost Pollster: 45.7%: 40.8% 5.0% 4.9: New York Times: 45.4%: 42.3% 5.0% 3.1: TPM Polltracker: 46.0%: 44.1% 4.9% 1.9: Four-way 270 to Win: 45.6%: 42.5% 4.8% 2.1% 3.1: Real Clear Politics: 45.5%: 42.2% 4.7% 1.9% 3.3 ...